‘Godzilla’ El Niño Is Here — and Scientists Say Political Meddling Is Making It Worse
A powerful “super El Niño” is now active, and experts warn that political interference and cuts to ocean monitoring systems are dangerously undermining the world’s ability to prepare for the coming floods, droughts, and hunger crises.
The strongest El Niño in recorded history is approaching, and scientists warn that the combination of this extreme natural cycle and ongoing climate shifts could devastate crops, trigger food shortages, and spark a global hunger crisis [1][2][3]. The phenomenon occurs when Pacific Ocean waters warm unusually, disrupting rainfall and temperature patterns across the planet [4]. This year, ocean heat is running 2.5 degrees Celsius above normal, qualifying as a “super” El Niño [5]. But the risk is magnified because the oceans have absorbed so much heat that the system’s normal brakes are failing, making the event linger longer and hit harder [6].
Modern forecasting systems have saved thousands of lives and billions of dollars by giving advance warnings of such events [1]. However, the Trump administration has interrupted key data streams and plans to remove a network of ocean-sensing instruments that track temperature and currents in the Pacific and Atlantic [1][3]. Without this real-time data, forecasters will struggle to predict extreme weather linked to El Niño, such as floods and droughts [3]. Terry Garcia, former deputy administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), warned these systems “should not be vulnerable to political whims” [1].
The United Nations’ World Food Programme and agriculture agency have issued a joint appeal for funds to prevent a global hunger crisis, warning that the coming extremes could devastate crops in key farming regions from Southeast Asia to the Americas [2][4]. In northern Thailand, cacao farmers are bracing for disaster. “It could be a total wipeout,” farmer Koranut Rattanayanyong told reporters [5]. Scientists caution that the full impact will depend on how strong the El Niño becomes in the coming months [4].
The difference between the victims of the 1877 “year without a winter,” which killed between 30 and 60 million people, and today is not luck—it is data, Garcia said. And that data is now in danger [1].