Global Oil Chaos Triggers Record Fuel Price Hikes Across Three Continents

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Global Oil Chaos Triggers Record Fuel Price Hikes Across Three Continents

Motorists from South Africa to China to Kenya are facing the steepest fuel price jumps in years, as a wave of geopolitical conflicts—spanning Iran, the Middle East, and the Gulf region—disrupts global oil supplies and empties gas stations.

In South Africa, the government cut the fuel levy by 3 rand per litre to soften the blow, but global oil prices driven higher by the conflict in Iran overwhelmed the relief, resulting in one of the steepest increases in pump prices the country has ever recorded [117581]. Analysts had predicted a potential record hike of up to 8 rand per litre, linked to a sharp rise in Brent crude oil above 100 dollars per barrel due to conflict near the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route through which about 20% of the world's oil supply passes [95663]. The impact has been severe: diesel rose by 7.51 rand per litre and petrol by 3.06 rand on Wednesday, triggering immediate price hikes for security companies, water suppliers, and taxi fares [118106].

The supply crunch has also caused a nationwide shortage. More than 1,000 fuel stations across South Africa ran dry as the Easter holiday travel period began, after drivers rushed to buy fuel before the price increase [119693]. Reports show at least 143 stations have no diesel and another 136 have no petrol, with Gauteng province worst hit [116547]. In the Nelson Mandela Bay metro, petroleum companies began limiting supplies and charging emergency surcharges, including up to 10 rand per litre for paraffin, citing the ongoing conflict in the Gulf region [108127].

China is also feeling the heat. Drivers raced to pumps ahead of the country's biggest fuel price jump of 2024, which took effect at midnight. The government sets fuel prices based on a formula linked to international crude oil costs, and this adjustment was the largest single increase so far this year [109102].

Kenya's energy regulator sharply increased fuel prices in response to soaring costs for imported oil, saying a major rise in the price of fuel bought from other countries forced the decision [130314]. The increase is expected to raise costs for transportation, electricity, and essential goods.

In the United Arab Emirates, diesel prices will rise by a dramatic 72% starting April 1, reaching 4.71 dirhams ($1.28) per litre, with petrol climbing by about 30% [116624]. The UAE government adjusts fuel prices monthly based on global market averages.

Even as crude oil prices steadied, analysts said pump prices remained high because the key Strait of Hormuz shipping route remains closed, bottlenecking global fuel movement [116592]. A drone strike on a Kuwaiti oil tanker off the coast of the United Arab Emirates sent oil prices surging above $115 per barrel, triggering a sell-off in Asian stock markets [116225]. In the United States, the average gasoline price recorded its largest weekly increase since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, following disruptions in oil supplies and conflict in the Middle East [97612].

In Iran, long lines formed at gas stations in Tehran after reported strikes on oil facilities. The government tightened fuel rationing, cutting the monthly gasoline quota for private vehicles from 30 litres to 20 litres per ration card, causing waits of several hours for fuel [96510].

Industry analysts warned that global political tensions are now a key factor determining fuel costs, and significant relief is not expected in the near future [124783].

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