Global Cereal Output to Fall 2% as Wheat Harvests Shrink, Malawi Still Hungry
Global cereal production is set to drop by 2 percent this season, while Malawi’s maize harvest—though improved—still fails to feed the nation.
Global cereal production is expected to drop by 2 percent in the 2026/27 season compared to the previous year, reaching 2,982 million tons, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization’s latest Cereal Supply and Demand Brief [171885]. The decline is driven by shrinking wheat harvests. Meanwhile, world cereal utilization is forecast to rise by 0.6 percent in 2026/2027, a sharp slowdown from the 2.7 percent growth recorded in the prior season [171885]. Trade in cereals is also projected to fall, reflecting tighter supplies and weaker demand [171885]. The report underscores mounting pressure on global food supplies as production fails to keep pace with consumption [171885].
In Malawi, the government expects an average maize harvest this year, providing some relief after last season’s poor crop [170769]. However, experts warn the projected output will still fall short of the country’s annual food needs [170769].