Trump Bets on Iran's Weakness. Experts Warn of a Confident Regime.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump's strategy appears to rely on a perception of Iranian weakness. However, analysis of the regime's recent actions suggests this may be a serious error. During the latest wave of public protests, Iran's leaders did show initial hesitation. Their response, however, quickly turned severe. This shift to violent repression, experts argue, is not a sign of desperation. Instead, it demonstrates a regime that is fundamentally secure and confident in its use of force. This confidence means Tehran is less likely to make diplomatic concessions under pressure. A strategy based on assumed Iranian fragility risks miscalculation and could lead to escalated conflict.